Almost everything that needed to happen to get Virginia Tech into the BCS Championship game happened.

Except one thing.

Auburn lost to Alabama.

Which kinda blows the whole thing up. Sure, Clemson losing twice didn’t help, but it wasn’t killer. And it would have been helpful for Notre Dame to beat Stanford.

But none of those were killer. Those were all nice to haves.

The must have was Auburn defeating Alabama. And it didn’t happen, leaving my Hokies’ chances of a BCS title bid much, much, much thinner.

They are, however, non-zero.

First, the Hokies need to take care of business and defeat Clemson to lock up the ACC Championship. Oklahoma needs to show some pride and beat Oklahoma State for the Big 12 title.

Those two events should move Virginia Tech into 3rd in the BCS standings. It’s not definite—but that would be likely. Then we need some voter angst. Not wanting to pit Alabama, who didn’t even win their division, in a rematch against LSU for the title. Maybe Georgia knocks off LSU in the SEC Championship game, taking a guaranteed bid, and the voters get cold feet about basically having two non-conference champs facing off for the title.

That’s our best bet. It’s unlikely, but there’s a small chance everything could fall the Hokies’ way.

Given that, they better take care of Clemson next week. ACC Champions. That’s goal #1.

 

You might remember that I laid out a path for Virginia Tech to play in the BCS Championship game. I did it jokingly, not really expecting there was a chance that the Hokies would end up with a shot.

What a difference a week makes.

Oregon lost. Oklahoma lost. Oklahoma St. lost.

The Hokies vault from the bottom of the BCS to 5th, with at least one team above them guaranteed to lose. It looks like the BCS now shakes out like this:

6) Virginia Tech
5) Stanford
4) Oklahoma State
3) Arkansas
2) Alabama
1) LSU

LSU plays Arkansas this week. At this point, we have to be rooting for an LSU victory, since I’m not sure an LSU loss would move them down the polls enough.

So, let’s put in LSU over Arkansas.

Alabama plays Auburn. We need an Auburn victory.

Oklahoma State plays Oklahoma in two weeks. We need the Sooners to bring it and beat the Cowboys. Oklahoma over Oklahoma State.

Stanford plays Notre Dame this week. A Notre Dame victory would be ideal, since that would hurt both Stanford and Oregon’s chances of jumping up the list. Stanford is then going to play UCLA or Utah in the Pac–12 Championship Game. We’d like Stanford to lose there as well. But we don’t need to be greedy.

Of course, we really need the Hokies to beat Virginia (not a given), and then defeat Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. Neither of those will prove to be easy tasks, but there’s a chance that with both of those wins, the Hokies would vault over Stanford, regardless of the outcome of their games.

I think, if all of this happened, you’d end up with LSU #1 and Virginia Tech #2. I think that’s the best thing we can hope for at this point. To make it more confusing, we could also hope for Georgia over LSU in the SEC Championship Game.

Let’s see where we stand next week. If Alabama beats Auburn, the odds of the Hokies getting up into the top two drops considerably. Of course, if the Hokies play the way they played against UNC, they won’t defeat Virginia, which will render the whole thing moot.

 

#10 Virginia Tech defeats North Carolina, Virginia

#9 Clemson defeats NC State, South Carolina

#8 Arkansas defeats LSU, loses to Miss. St.

#7 Oregon loses to USC or Oregon St. (or both)

#6 Oklahoma loses to Baylor, defeats Oklahoma St.

#5 Boise State lost to TCU

#4 Stanford lost to Oregon, ideally would lose to Notre Dame or Cal

#3 Alabama loses to Auburn

#2 Oklahoma State loses to Oklahoma, loses Big 12 Championship too?

#1 LSU loses to Arkansas, loses to Georgia in SEC Championship too?

If all of that can happen, then the Clemson/VT ACC Championship game should be between two top-5 teams. If VT wins that, they should have a clear path to play Houston in the greatest BCS Championship game ever.

Hey, it could happen … McWorld!!!

FoodMcworld

 

Closer game than it should have been, but this video gives me chills every time I watch it. Need to find myself a way to get back to Blacksburg.

 

Virginia Tech 64, #1 Duke 60

I miss school.

© 2011 That Not So Fresh Feeling Suffusion theme by Sayontan Sinha